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Read Article Francisco Cerundolo vs. Alex de Minaur prediction, odds, picks for ATP Hamburg Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Cerundolo vs de Minaur predictions for ATP Hamburg Open.
Francisco Cerundolo will face Alex de Minaur in the round of 32 at the ATP Hamburg event on Monday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Francisco Cerundolo as the most likely winner of the Cerundolo vs. de Minaur match.
This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.
Cerundolo vs. de Minaur prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Cerundolo-de Minaur men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Cerundolo a 60% chance of beating de Minaur at the ATP Hamburg Open tournament.
Additionally, Cerundolo has a 57% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the +2.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the under 22.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Francisco Cerundolo vs. Alex de Minaur odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cerundolo | de Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -165 | +143 |
| First Set | -164 | +130 |
| Game Spread | -2.5 (-118) | +2.5 (-112) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-110) | u22.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cerundolo vs. de Minaur picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | de Minaur | +143 |
| First Set | de Minaur | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Alex de Minaur to win.
Although de Minaur is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cerundolo vs. de Minaur updates and essential details
The ATP Hamburg Open match between Francisco Cerundolo and Alex de Minaur is scheduled to commence on Monday at 5:30 AM ET.
- Who: Francisco Cerundolo vs. Alex de Minaur
- Date: Monday, May 18, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:30 AM ET/2:30AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Hamburg, Germany Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Francisco Cerundolo, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat Alex de Minaur at the ATP Hamburg Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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