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Read Article Hailey Baptiste vs. Mirra Andreeva prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Baptiste vs Andreeva predictions for WTA Madrid Open.
Hailey Baptiste and Mirra Andreeva will lock horns in the semifinals of the WTA Madrid Open event on Thursday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Mirra Andreeva as the most likely winner of the Baptiste vs. Andreeva match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Baptiste vs. Andreeva prediction: Who will win and advance to the final?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Baptiste-Andreeva women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Andreeva a 63% chance of winning against Baptiste at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Andreeva has a 60% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Andreeva (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Hailey Baptiste vs. Mirra Andreeva odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Baptiste | Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +175 | -200 |
| First Set | +175 | -227 |
| Game Spread | +3.5 (-110) | -3.5 (-120) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-115) | u21.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Baptiste vs. Andreeva picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Baptiste | +175 |
| First Set | Andreeva | -118 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Baptiste vs. Andreeva updates and essential details
The WTA Madrid Open match between Hailey Baptiste and Mirra Andreeva is scheduled to start on Thursday at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Hailey Baptiste vs. Mirra Andreeva
- Date: Thursday, April 30, 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Semifinals
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Mirra Andreeva, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat Hailey Baptiste at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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