Holger Rune vs. Valentin Vacherot prediction, odds, picks for ATP Shanghai Masters 2025

Holger Rune and Valentin Vacherot will meet in the quarterfinals of the ATP Shanghai Masters event on Thursday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Holger Rune as the most likely winner of the match.

For a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Rune vs. Vacherot predictions page.

Rune vs. Vacherot prediction: Who will win and advance to the semifinals?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Rune-Vacherot men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Rune a 78% chance of winning against Vacherot at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

Additionally, Rune has a 74% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Rune (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Holger Rune vs. Valentin Vacherot odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Rune	Vacherot
Moneyline	-350	+300
First Set	-278	+220
Game Spread	+3.5 (-104)	-3.5 (-132)
Total Games	o22.5 (-110)	u22.5 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Rune vs. Vacherot picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in the Rune vs. Vacherot match is on the first set.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Rune vs. Vacherot updates and essential details

The ATP Shanghai Masters match between Holger Rune and Valentin Vacherot is scheduled to start on Thursday at 3:00AM ET.

• Who: Holger Rune vs. Valentin Vacherot
• Date: Thursday, October 9, 2025
• Approx. Time: 3:00AM ET/12:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Shanghai, China Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Quarterfinals

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Dimers' full preview of Thursday's Rune vs. Vacherot match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Holger Rune vs. Valentin Vacherot picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Key tennis betting guides and insights

• Learn how to bet on tennis and understand how tennis odds work
• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
• Stay informed with guides on where online sports betting is currently legal and which states could legalize next
• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Holger Rune, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Valentin Vacherot at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rune vs. Vacherot insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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