Fever vs. Sun prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 19 points in Saturday's WNBA matchup [6/13/2026]

WNBA action continues on Saturday at 6:00 PM ET as the favored Indiana Fever square off with the Connecticut Sun at Mohegan Sun Arena.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Fever as the most likely winner of the Fever vs. Sun game.

The Sun, with stars like Leila Lacan, Brittney Griner and Saniya Rivers, will face off against the Fever, featuring Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston.

Clark, the Fever's No. 1 pick in the 2024 WNBA draft, is expected to shine with a projected 19 points and 3 threes.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Fever vs. Sun prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's WNBA game between the Fever and Sun, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Fever a 75.9% chance of beating the Sun.

According to our model, the Sun (+8.5) have a 55.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 170.5 points has a 61.1% chance of staying under,.

Fever vs. Sun odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Fever	Sun
Spread	-8.5 (-110)	+8.5 (-105)
Moneyline	-400	+320
Total	o170.5 (-112)	u170.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Fever vs. Sun picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Sun +8.5	-105
Moneyline	Sun	+320
Total	Under 170.5	-105

According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 170.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Fever vs. Sun player props

WNBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on Saturday's Indiana vs. Connecticut game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mohegan Sun Arena.

Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever with 22 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists, while Leila Lacan is projected to have 11 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists for the Sun.

Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Aliyah Boston as the most likely player to open the scoring.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Fever prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Fever are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kelsey Mitchell	22	2	3	3	34
Caitlin Clark	19	5	9	3	47
Aliyah Boston	17	8	5	0	40
S. Cunningham	6	2	1	1	14
M. Hines-Allen	6	5	2	0	19

Sun prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Leila Lacan	11	2	4	1	26
Brittney Griner	10	4	1	0	21
Saniya Rivers	10	3	3	1	24
Aneesah Morrow	9	7	1	1	22
Aaliyah Edwards	8	4	1	0	18

Fever vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's game between the Sun and Fever at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to begin at 6:00 PM ET.

• Who: Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun
• Date: Saturday, June 13, 2026
• Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
• Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Fever, with a 75.9% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Saturday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.