Senegal vs. Iraq prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's World Cup 2026 matchup between Senegal and Iraq, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 74.4% chance of Senegal winning, a 9.4% chance for Iraq, and a 16.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 3.5-goal over/under has a 62.4% chance of staying under, with a 53.4% chance of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Senegal holds a 44.1% probability to win without conceding, with Iraq at 4.7%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Senegal to win or draw at 90.6%.

Iraq vs. Senegal odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Senegal	Iraq	Draw
-450	+1100	+600

Total Goals

Over 3.5	Under 3.5
+130	-154

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Senegal vs. Iraq picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Iraq @ +600 via BetMGM
• Total Goals: Under 3.5 @ -154 via FanDuel
• Win to Nil: Iraq @ +1450 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Iraq or Draw @ +340 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: Yes @ +120 via BetMGM

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Iraq to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Senegal vs. Iraq: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Senegal win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Senegal 2-0 Iraq	12.7%
Senegal 1-0 Iraq	10.7%
Senegal 3-0 Iraq	10.1%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 46.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 53.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Senegal vs. Iraq player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Friday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Senegal-Iraq:

Senegal

• Nicolas Jackson: 42.0% probability
• Ismaila Sarr: 34.3% probability
• Sadio Mane: 33.2% probability
• Pape Gueye: 18.3% probability
• Lamine Camara: 15.1% probability

Iraq

• Ali Hamadi: 15.1% probability
• Ahmed Qasem: 8.2% probability
• Ibrahim Bayesh: 8.0% probability
• Zidane Iqbal: 5.6% probability
• Zaid Ismael: 5.4% probability

Senegal vs. Iraq game-day updates and essential details

Friday's soccer World Cup matchup between Senegal and Iraq at BMO Field is scheduled to commence at 3:00 PM ET.

• Who: Senegal vs. Iraq
• Date: Friday, June 26, 2026
• Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: BMO Field

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Senegal has a 74.4% win probability on Friday, Iraq has a 9.4% win probability, and there is a 16.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.