Jaime Faria vs. Denis Shapovalov prediction, odds, picks for French Open 2026

Jaime Faria will square off with Denis Shapovalov in the first round of the French Open Men's Singles 2026 on Tuesday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Jaime Faria as the most likely winner of the Faria vs. Shapovalov match.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Faria vs. Shapovalov prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Faria-Shapovalov men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Faria a 59% chance of beating Shapovalov in the French Open 2026.

Additionally, Faria has a 58% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Faria (-2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 37.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Jaime Faria vs. Denis Shapovalov odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Faria	Shapovalov
Moneyline	-166	+145
First Set	-152	+120
Game Spread	-2.5 (-120)	+2.5 (-110)
Total Games	o37.5 (-120)	u37.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Faria vs. Shapovalov picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Shapovalov	+145
First Set	Shapovalov	-120

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Denis Shapovalov to win.

Although Shapovalov is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Faria vs. Shapovalov updates and essential details

The French Open 2026 match between Jaime Faria and Denis Shapovalov is scheduled to begin on Tuesday at 11:00 AM ET.

• Who: Jaime Faria vs. Denis Shapovalov
• Date: Tuesday, May 26, 2026
• Approx. Time: 11:00 AM ET/8:00AM PT
• Tournament: French Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: First round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Jaime Faria, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat Denis Shapovalov at the French Open 2026.

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