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Janice Tjen vs. Alina Charaeva prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Tjen vs Charaeva predictions for WTA Madrid Open.
Janice Tjen will take on Alina Charaeva in the round of 128 at the WTA Madrid event on Wednesday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Alina Charaeva as the most likely winner of the Tjen vs. Charaeva match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Tjen vs. Charaeva prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Tjen-Charaeva women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Charaeva a 53% chance of defeating Tjen at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Charaeva has a 53% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the -0.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the over 21.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Janice Tjen vs. Alina Charaeva odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tjen | Charaeva |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +102 | -118 |
| First Set | +100 | -125 |
| Game Spread | +0.5 (-110) | -0.5 (-120) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-105) | u21.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tjen vs. Charaeva picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charaeva | -118 |
| First Set | Charaeva | -105 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Alina Charaeva to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tjen vs. Charaeva updates and essential details
The WTA Madrid Open match between Janice Tjen and Alina Charaeva is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 9:00 AM ET.
- Who: Janice Tjen vs. Alina Charaeva
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Approx. Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Alina Charaeva, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat Janice Tjen at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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