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Read Article Jannik Sinner vs. Sebastian Ofner prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Sinner vs Ofner predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Jannik Sinner will square off with Sebastian Ofner in the round of 64 at the ATP Rome event on Saturday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Jannik Sinner as the most likely winner of the Sinner vs. Ofner match.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Sinner vs. Ofner prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Sinner-Ofner men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Sinner a 96% chance of defeating Ofner at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Sinner has a 92% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sinner (-6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 17.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Jannik Sinner vs. Sebastian Ofner odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sinner | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -7143 | +2000 |
| First Set | -1667 | +900 |
| Game Spread | -6.5 (-118) | +6.5 (-112) |
| Total Games | o17.5 (-136) | u17.5 (+104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sinner vs. Ofner picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ofner | +2000 |
| First Set | Ofner | +104 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Sebastian Ofner to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sinner vs. Ofner updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Jannik Sinner and Sebastian Ofner is scheduled to start on Saturday at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Jannik Sinner vs. Sebastian Ofner
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Approx. Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Jannik Sinner, with a 96% win probability, will likely beat Sebastian Ofner at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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