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Jenson Brooksby vs. Emilio Nava prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Brooksby vs Nava predictions for ATP Madrid Open.
Jenson Brooksby will face Emilio Nava in the round of 128 at the ATP Madrid event on Wednesday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Emilio Nava as the most likely winner of the Brooksby vs. Nava match.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Brooksby vs. Nava prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Brooksby-Nava men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Nava a 60% chance of winning against Brooksby at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Nava has a 57% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Brooksby (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 22.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Jenson Brooksby vs. Emilio Nava odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Brooksby | Nava |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +179 | -200 |
| First Set | +137 | -175 |
| Game Spread | +2.5 (-105) | -2.5 (-155) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-110) | u22.5 (-122) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Brooksby vs. Nava picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brooksby | +179 |
| First Set | Nava | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Jenson Brooksby to win.
Although Brooksby is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Brooksby vs. Nava updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Jenson Brooksby and Emilio Nava is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Jenson Brooksby vs. Emilio Nava
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Emilio Nava, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat Jenson Brooksby at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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