...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
Leeds vs. Aston Villa prediction, odds, Premier League picks [11/23/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Leeds vs Aston Villa predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Premier League action continues on Sunday at 9:00AM ET as Aston Villa locks horns with Leeds at Elland Road.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Aston Villa as the most likely winner of the Leeds vs. Aston Villa game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Leeds vs. Aston Villa prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Premier League match between Leeds and Aston Villa 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 29.5% chance of Leeds winning, a 44.8% chance for Aston Villa, and a 25.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Leeds vs. Aston Villa odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Leeds | Aston Villa | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +225 | +130 | +230 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +110 | -134 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Leeds vs. Aston Villa picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Aston Villa | +130 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +110 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.
Leeds vs. Aston Villa: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Leeds 1-1 AVL | 12.2% |
| Leeds 0-1 AVL | 10.5% |
| Leeds 1-2 AVL | 9.1% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.4% chance that both Leeds and Aston Villa score, and a 46.6% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Leeds vs. Aston Villa game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League game between Leeds and Aston Villa at Elland Road is scheduled to begin in the United States at 9:00AM ET.
- Who: Leeds vs. Aston Villa
- Date: Sunday, November 23, 2025
- Time: 9:00AM ET/6:00AM PT
- Venue: Elland Road
Sports betting deal available for Missouri sports fans
To make the most of the upcoming Missouri launch, check out details on the latest Bet365 bonus code "DIMERS" that scores you $365 in bonus bets from a $10 bet — win or lose. Don't miss out!
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Leeds has a 29.5% win probability on Sunday, Aston Villa has a 44.8% win probability, and there is a 25.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Leeds vs. Aston Villa insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
Advertiser disclosure