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Leeds vs. Liverpool prediction, odds, Premier League picks [12/6/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Leeds vs Liverpool predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Leeds will face Liverpool in Premier League action at Elland Road on Saturday, commencing at 12:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Liverpool as the most likely winner of the Leeds vs. Liverpool game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Leeds vs. Liverpool prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Leeds and Liverpool 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 20.5% chance of Leeds winning, a 57.8% chance for Liverpool, and a 21.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 59% chance of going over, according to our model.
Leeds vs. Liverpool odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Leeds | Liverpool | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +320 | -120 | +290 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -158 | +128 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Leeds vs. Liverpool picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Liverpool | -120 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -158 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Liverpool to win.
Leeds vs. Liverpool: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Leeds 1-1 LIV | 10.1% |
| Leeds 1-2 LIV | 9.9% |
| Leeds 0-1 LIV | 9.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.9% chance that both teams scoring, and a 43.1% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Leeds vs. Liverpool game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League action between Leeds and Liverpool at Elland Road is scheduled to begin in the United States at 12:30PM ET.
- Who: Leeds vs. Liverpool
- Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
- Time: 12:30PM ET/9:30AM PT
- Venue: Elland Road
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Leeds has a 20.5% win probability on Saturday, Liverpool has a 57.8% win probability, and there is a 21.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Leeds vs. Liverpool insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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