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Leeds vs. Manchester City prediction, odds, Premier League picks [2/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Leeds vs Manchester City predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Leeds and Manchester City will meet in the Premier League at Elland Road on Saturday, starting at 12:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model predicts Manchester City as the most likely winner of the Leeds vs. Manchester City game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Leeds vs. Manchester City prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Premier League match between Leeds and Manchester City 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 20.4% chance of Leeds winning, a 57.2% chance for Manchester City, and a 22.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 55% chance of going over, according to our model.
Leeds vs. Manchester City odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Leeds | Manchester City | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +390 | -135 | +300 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -124 | +102 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Leeds vs. Manchester City picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Leeds | +390 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -124 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Leeds to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Leeds vs. Manchester City: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Leeds 1-1 MCI | 10.6% |
| Leeds 0-1 MCI | 10.4% |
| Leeds 1-2 MCI | 9.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.2% chance that both teams scoring, and a 45.8% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Leeds vs. Manchester City game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League matchup between Leeds and Manchester City at Elland Road is scheduled to start in the United States at 12:30 PM ET.
- Who: Leeds vs. Manchester City
- Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
- Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
- Venue: Elland Road
World Cup 2026 watch: Brenden Aaronson (USA)
Leeds United midfielder Brenden Aaronson is on the radar for USMNT fans this year as excitement ramps up in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026—an event already generating plenty of World Cup news and early discussions about who will win the World Cup. With the United States placed alongside Australia, Paraguay, and one of four potential European qualifiers in Group D next year, Aaronson's form will be watched closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Leeds has a 20.4% win probability on Saturday, Manchester City has a 57.2% win probability, and there is a 22.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Leeds vs. Manchester City insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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