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Lorenzo Sonego vs. Daniil Medvedev prediction, odds, picks for ATP Paris Masters 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Sonego vs Medvedev predictions for ATP Paris Masters.
Lorenzo Sonego will square off with Daniil Medvedev in the round of 16 at the ATP Paris event on Thursday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Daniil Medvedev as the most likely winner of the Sonego vs. Medvedev match.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Sonego vs. Medvedev prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Sonego-Medvedev men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Medvedev a 76% chance of defeating Sonego at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.
Additionally, Medvedev has a 71% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Medvedev (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Lorenzo Sonego vs. Daniil Medvedev odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sonego | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +333 | -408 |
| First Set | +220 | -278 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-175) | +3.5 (+110) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-126) | u21.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sonego vs. Medvedev picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sonego | +333 |
| First Set | Medvedev | -108 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is *Lorenzo Sonego to win.
Sonego vs. Medvedev updates and essential details
The ATP Paris Masters match between Lorenzo Sonego and Daniil Medvedev is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 12:30PM ET.
- Who: Lorenzo Sonego vs. Daniil Medvedev
- Date: Thursday, October 30, 2025
- Approx. Time: 12:30PM ET/9:30AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Paris, France Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Daniil Medvedev, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Lorenzo Sonego at the ATP Paris Masters tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sonego vs. Medvedev insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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