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Read Article Dodgers vs. Padres prediction: Dodgers favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [5/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres predictions for MLB Monday.
The San Diego Padres will face the Los Angeles Dodgers in MLB action at Petco Park on Monday, beginning at 9:40 PM ET.
Michael King (3-2, 2.63 ERA) will be the starting pitcher for the Padres, pitting him against Yoshinobu Yamamoto (3-3, 3.60 ERA) for the Dodgers.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Dodgers as the most likely winner of the Dodgers vs. Padres game.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Dodgers vs. Padres prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB game between the Dodgers and Padres, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Dodgers a 56% chance of beating the Padres.
According to our model, the Padres (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the 7-run over/under has a 58% chance of going over.
Dodgers vs. Padres odds [5/18/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Dodgers | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+120) | +1.5 (-144) |
| Moneyline | -144 | +124 |
| Total | o7 (-125) | u7 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Dodgers vs. Padres picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Padres +1.5 | -144 |
| Moneyline | Padres | +124 |
| Total | Over 7 | -125 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dodgers vs. Padres game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB action between the Padres and Dodgers at Petco Park is scheduled to commence at 9:40 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
- Date: Monday, May 18, 2026
- Time: 9:40 PM ET/6:40PM PT
- Venue: Petco Park
Conclusion
We predict the Dodgers, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Padres in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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