MLB player props today: Tuesday's best props include Will Warren [5/19/2026]

Will Warren under 5.5 strikeouts (-149)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 66.2%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on NY Yankees' Will Warren under 5.5 strikeouts. A probability of 66.2% gives this play an edge of 6.4% at -149 odds.

Chase Burns under 6.5 strikeouts (-139)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 65.7%
• Game: Reds vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)

Chase Burns’s strikeouts prop shows a 65.7% probability and an 7.6% edge at -139 odds, according to our model.

Hyeseong Kim over 0.5 bases (-120)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 58.2%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

The data highlights value on Hyeseong Kim over 0.5 bases, with simulations showing a 58.2% probability and a 3.5% edge at -120.

Hyeseong Kim to get a hit (-125)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 58.2%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Padres (9:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Hyeseong Kim to get a hit, with a 58.2% probability and an edge of 2.6% at -125 odds.

Mitch Keller under 4.5 strikeouts (-110)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 57.3%
• Game: Pirates vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Mitch Keller under 4.5 strikeouts for Pittsburgh, showing an edge of 4.9% at -110 odds.

Victor Scott II over 0.5 bases (-105)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 56.0%
• Game: Pirates vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

Victor Scott II’s bases prop shows an edge of 4.7% at -105 odds, supported by a 56.0% probability according to our model.

Victor Scott II to get a hit (-109)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 56.0%
• Game: Pirates vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Victor Scott II to get a hit for St. Louis, with a 56.0% probability and a 3.9% edge at -109 odds.

Matthew Liberatore under 4.5 strikeouts (+103)

• Edge: 6.6%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Game: Pirates vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)

The data shows value on Matthew Liberatore under 4.5 strikeouts, supported by a 55.9% probability at +103 odds and an edge of 6.6%.

Jesus Luzardo under 6.5 strikeouts (+118)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 53.9%
• Game: Reds vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET)

An 8.1% edge on the under 4.5 strikeouts line makes Jesus Luzardo a value play in Reds vs. Phillies, supported by a 53.9% probability at +118 odds.

Spencer Jones to get a hit (+110)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 52.8%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

Simulations show value on Spencer Jones to get a hit here, with a 52.8% probability and 5.2% edge at +110 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, May 19, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 1:11AM ET:

Conclusion

For May 19, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Will Warren, Chase Burns and Hyeseong Kim. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.