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Kings vs. Flames prediction: Why Los Angeles is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [4/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Los Angeles Kings vs Calgary Flames predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Calgary Flames and Los Angeles Kings will lock horns in the NHL at Scotiabank Saddledome on Thursday, with puck drop at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Kings as the most likely winner of the Kings vs. Flames game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Kings vs. Flames prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Kings and Flames, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Kings a 56% chance of beating the Flames.
According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 66% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Kings vs. Flames odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kings | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+164) | +1.5 (-180) |
| Moneyline | -160 | +136 |
| Total | o6 (-118) | u6 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kings vs. Flames picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Flames +1.5 | -180 |
| Moneyline | Flames | +136 |
| Total | Under 6 | -102 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Kings vs. Flames player props
Who will score a goal in Kings vs. Flames?
According to our model, Adrian Kempe is most likely to score an anytime goal in Kings vs. Flames.
Our projections give Kempe a 36.0% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Saddledome, while the star is a 6.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe | 36.0% |
| Artemi Panarin | 34.7% |
| Quinton Byfield | 34.1% |
| Alex Laferriere | 29.5% |
| Trevor Moore | 24.4% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Morgan Frost | 26.2% |
| Matthew Coronato | 25.5% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 24.5% |
| Blake Coleman | 24.1% |
| Joel Farabee | 19.8% |
First goal scorer predictions
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Artemi Panarin | 7.6% |
| Quinton Byfield | 6.9% |
| Adrian Kempe | 6.8% |
| Alex Laferriere | 5.8% |
| Trevor Moore | 4.6% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Morgan Frost | 5.8% |
| Matthew Coronato | 5.3% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 4.6% |
| Blake Coleman | 4.5% |
| Mikael Backlund | 4.1% |
Kings vs. Flames game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Flames and Kings at Scotiabank Saddledome is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Kings vs. Calgary Flames
- Date: Thursday, April 16, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome
Conclusion
We predict the Kings, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Flames in Thursday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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