Kings vs. Islanders prediction: Islanders favored to win Friday's NHL matchup [3/13/2026]

The NY Islanders will face the Los Angeles Kings, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at UBS Arena on Friday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Islanders a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Kings.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's Kings vs. Islanders matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Kings vs. Isles prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NHL matchup between the Kings and Islanders 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Islanders a 54% chance of defeating the Kings.

According to our model, the Kings (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

Kings vs. Islanders odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Kings	Islanders
Puck Line	+1.5 (-225)	-1.5 (+186)
Moneyline	+120	-138
Total	o5.5 (-110)	u5.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kings vs. Islanders picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Kings +1.5	-225
Moneyline	Kings	+120
Total	Under 5.5	-110

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Kings to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Kings vs. Islanders player props

Who will score a goal in Kings vs. Islanders?

According to our model, Adrian Kempe is most likely to score an anytime goal in Kings vs. Islanders.

Our projections give Kempe a 36.5% chance of scoring a goal at UBS Arena, while the star is a 7.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Los Angeles Kings

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Adrian Kempe	36.5%
Artemi Panarin	35.4%
Quinton Byfield	27.0%
Alex Laferriere	26.3%
Trevor Moore	21.4%

NY Islanders

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Bo Horvat	34.5%
Anders Lee	27.1%
Mathew Barzal	25.2%
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	21.2%
Matthew Schaefer	20.5%

First goal scorer predictions

Los Angeles Kings

Player	First Goal Probability
Adrian Kempe	7.8%
Artemi Panarin	7.3%
Quinton Byfield	5.7%
Alex Laferriere	5.6%
Trevor Moore	4.4%

NY Islanders

Player	First Goal Probability
Bo Horvat	7.4%
Anders Lee	5.2%
Mathew Barzal	5.0%
Matthew Schaefer	4.3%
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	3.9%

Kings vs. Isles game-day updates and essential details

Friday's action between the Islanders and Kings at UBS Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles Kings vs. NY Islanders
• Date: Friday, March 13, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: UBS Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Islanders, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Kings on Friday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Kings vs. Islanders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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