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Read Article Maja Chwalinska vs. Elise Mertens prediction, odds, picks for French Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Chwalinska vs Mertens predictions for French Open 2026.
Maja Chwalinska and Elise Mertens will meet in the second round of the French Open 2026 on Wednesday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Elise Mertens as the most likely winner of the Chwalinska vs. Mertens match.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Chwalinska vs. Mertens prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Chwalinska-Mertens women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Mertens a 66% chance of beating Chwalinska in the French Open 2026.
Additionally, Mertens has a 62% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Chwalinska (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Maja Chwalinska vs. Elise Mertens odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Chwalinska | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +205 | -250 |
| First Set | +162 | -200 |
| Game Spread | +4.5 (-134) | -4.5 (+102) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-110) | u21.5 (-122) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Chwalinska vs. Mertens picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chwalinska | +205 |
| First Set | Mertens | -122 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Maja Chwalinska to win.
Although Chwalinska is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Chwalinska vs. Mertens updates and essential details
The French Open 2026 match between Maja Chwalinska and Elise Mertens is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Maja Chwalinska vs. Elise Mertens
- Date: Wednesday, May 27, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Tournament: French Open Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Second round
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Elise Mertens, with a 66% win probability, will likely beat Maja Chwalinska at the French Open 2026.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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