Maja Chwalinska vs. Elise Mertens prediction, odds, picks for French Open 2026

Maja Chwalinska and Elise Mertens will meet in the second round of the French Open 2026 on Thursday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Elise Mertens as the most likely winner of the Chwalinska vs. Mertens match.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Chwalinska vs. Mertens prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Chwalinska-Mertens women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Mertens a 62% chance of beating Chwalinska in the French Open 2026.

Additionally, Mertens has a 60% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Chwalinska (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 20.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Maja Chwalinska vs. Elise Mertens odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Chwalinska	Mertens
Moneyline	+180	-200
First Set	+150	-189
Game Spread	+3.5 (-112)	-3.5 (-118)
Total Games	o20.5 (-120)	u20.5 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Chwalinska vs. Mertens picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Chwalinska	+180
First Set	Mertens	-120

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Maja Chwalinska to win.

Although Chwalinska is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Chwalinska vs. Mertens updates and essential details

The French Open 2026 match between Maja Chwalinska and Elise Mertens is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 7:30 AM ET.

• Who: Maja Chwalinska vs. Elise Mertens
• Date: Thursday, May 28, 2026
• Approx. Time: 7:30 AM ET/4:30AM PT
• Tournament: French Open Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Second round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Elise Mertens, with a 62% win probability, will likely beat Maja Chwalinska at the French Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.