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Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace prediction, odds, Premier League picks [5/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Manchester City vs Crystal Palace predictions for Premier League Wednesday.
Premier League action continues on Wednesday at 3:00 PM ET as Crystal Palace locks horns with Manchester City at Etihad Stadium.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Premier League model predicts Manchester City as the most likely winner of the Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace game.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Premier League match between Manchester City and Crystal Palace, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 74.2% chance of Manchester City winning, a 10.5% chance for Crystal Palace, and a 15.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 68% chance of going over, according to our model.
Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Manchester City | Crystal Palace | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -450 | +1200 | +700 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -333 | +250 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Crystal Palace | +1200 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +250 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Manchester City win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MCI 2-0 CRY | 10.3% |
| MCI 2-1 CRY | 9.2% |
| MCI 3-0 CRY | 9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.4% chance of both Manchester City and Crystal Palace finding the net and a 45.6% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's Premier League matchup between Manchester City and Crystal Palace at Etihad Stadium is scheduled to begin in the USA at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace
- Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Etihad Stadium
World Cup 2026 watch: Chris Richards (USA)
Crystal Palace center-back Chris Richards is firmly on the radar for USMNT fans as anticipation ramps up in the lead up to the FIFA World Cup 2026—an event generating demand for World Cup predictions and early discussions about who will win the World Cup. With the United States drawn against Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Richards' form will be monitored closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Manchester City has a 74.2% win probability on Wednesday, Crystal Palace has a 10.5% win probability, and there is a 15.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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