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Manchester United vs. Manchester City prediction, odds, Premier League picks [1/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Manchester United vs Manchester City predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Manchester United will take on Manchester City in Premier League action at Old Trafford on Saturday, commencing at 7:30 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Premier League model projects Manchester City as the most likely winner of the Manchester United vs. Manchester City game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Manchester United vs. Manchester City prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Premier League match between Manchester United and Manchester City 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 28.1% chance of Manchester United winning, a 49.6% chance for Manchester City, and a 22.2% chance of a draw.
Manchester United vs. Manchester City odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Manchester United | Manchester City | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +200 | +130 | +270 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Manchester United vs. Manchester City picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Manchester City | +130 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Manchester City to win.
Manchester United vs. Manchester City: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MUN 1-1 MCI | 9.7% |
| MUN 1-2 MCI | 9.3% |
| MUN 0-1 MCI | 7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 64.3% chance of the yes hitting, and a 35.7% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Manchester United vs. Manchester City game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League game between Manchester United and Manchester City at Old Trafford is scheduled to start in the United States at 7:30 AM ET.
- Who: Manchester United vs. Manchester City
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 7:30 AM ET/4:30AM PT
- Venue: Old Trafford
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Manchester United has a 28.1% win probability on Saturday, Manchester City has a 49.6% win probability, and there is a 22.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Manchester United vs. Manchester City insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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