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Dolphins vs. Manly Sea Eagles prediction: Dolphins favored to win Thursday's NRL Round 5 matchup [4/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Dolphins vs Manly Sea Eagles predictions for NRL Thursday.
Dolphins will take on the Manly Sea Eagles in National Rugby League (NRL) action at Kayo Stadium on Thursday, commencing at 5:00 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NRL model projects the Dolphins as the most likely winner of the Sea Eagles vs. Dolphins game.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Dolphins vs. Sea Eagles prediction: Who will win Round 5 game?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NRL matchup between the Sea Eagles and Dolphins, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Dolphins an 80% chance of defeating the Sea Eagles.
According to our model, the Dolphins (-10.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 50.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Manly vs. Dolphins odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sea Eagles | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +215 | -286 |
| Line (Spread) | +10.5 (-120) | -10.5 (-105) |
| Total | o50.5 (-108) | u50.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sea Eagles vs. Dolphins picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dolphins -10.5 | bet_rivers_in-105 |
| Moneyline | Dolphins | bet_rivers_in-286 |
| Total | Under 50.5 | -120 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dolphins to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Dolphins vs. Sea Eagles game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's Australian rugby league matchup between the Dolphins and Sea Eagles at Kayo Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Manly Sea Eagles vs. Dolphins
- Date: Thursday, April 2, 2026
- Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Venue: Kayo Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Dolphins, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Sea Eagles on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sea Eagles vs. Dolphins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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