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Marco Trungelliti vs. Daniel Merida prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Trungelliti vs Merida predictions for ATP Madrid Open.
Marco Trungelliti will take on Daniel Merida in the round of 128 at the ATP Madrid event on Thursday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Daniel Merida as the most likely winner of the Trungelliti vs. Merida match.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Trungelliti vs. Merida prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Trungelliti-Merida men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives Merida a 54% chance of beating Trungelliti at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Marco Trungelliti vs. Daniel Merida odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Trungelliti | Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +114 | -137 |
| Game Spread | +0.5 (-110) | -0.5 (-150) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-118) | u22.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Trungelliti vs. Merida picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Trungelliti | +114 |
| First Set | Merida | -112 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Marco Trungelliti to win.
Although Trungelliti is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Trungelliti vs. Merida updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Marco Trungelliti and Daniel Merida is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 9:40 AM ET.
- Who: Marco Trungelliti vs. Daniel Merida
- Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026
- Approx. Time: 9:40 AM ET/6:40AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Daniel Merida, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat Marco Trungelliti at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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