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Read Article Maria Sakkari vs. Elena Rybakina prediction, odds, picks for WTA Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Sakkari vs Rybakina predictions for WTA Italian Open.
Maria Sakkari will take on Elena Rybakina in the round of 64 at the WTA Rome event on Friday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Elena Rybakina as the most likely winner of the Sakkari vs. Rybakina match.
This article offers further insights into Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Sakkari vs. Rybakina prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's Sakkari-Rybakina women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Rybakina an 84% chance of winning against Sakkari at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Rybakina has a 79% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Rybakina (-5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 19.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Maria Sakkari vs. Elena Rybakina odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sakkari | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +570 | -741 |
| First Set | +400 | -625 |
| Game Spread | +5.5 (+104) | -5.5 (-138) |
| Total Games | o19.5 (-115) | u19.5 (-130) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sakkari vs. Rybakina picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sakkari | +570 |
| First Set | Rybakina | -130 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Maria Sakkari to win.
Although Sakkari is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sakkari vs. Rybakina updates and essential details
The WTA Italian Open match between Maria Sakkari and Elena Rybakina is scheduled to start on Friday at 2:05 PM ET.
- Who: Maria Sakkari vs. Elena Rybakina
- Date: Friday, May 8, 2026
- Approx. Time: 2:05 PM ET/11:05AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Elena Rybakina, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat Maria Sakkari at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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