Marie Bouzkova vs. Anhelina Kalinina prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026

Marie Bouzkova will square off with Anhelina Kalinina in the round of 64 at the WTA Madrid event on Thursday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Marie Bouzkova as the most likely winner of the Bouzkova vs. Kalinina match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.

Bouzkova vs. Kalinina prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Bouzkova-Kalinina women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Bouzkova a 52% chance of beating Kalinina at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Bouzkova has a 52% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Bouzkova (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Marie Bouzkova vs. Anhelina Kalinina odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bouzkova vs. Kalinina picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Anhelina Kalinina to win.

Although Kalinina is less than likely to win, she provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Bouzkova vs. Kalinina updates and essential details

The WTA Madrid Open match between Marie Bouzkova and Anhelina Kalinina is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 8:00 AM ET.

• Who: Marie Bouzkova vs. Anhelina Kalinina
• Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026
• Approx. Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00AM PT
• Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain Women's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Marie Bouzkova, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat Anhelina Kalinina at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.

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