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Read Article Marta Kostyuk vs. Anastasia Potapova prediction, odds, picks for WTA Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Kostyuk vs Potapova predictions for WTA Madrid Open.
Marta Kostyuk and Anastasia Potapova will lock horns in the semifinals of the WTA Madrid Open event on Thursday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model projects Marta Kostyuk as the most likely winner of the Kostyuk vs. Potapova match.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Kostyuk vs. Potapova prediction: Who will win and advance to the final?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Kostyuk-Potapova women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Kostyuk a 72% chance of winning against Potapova at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additionally, Kostyuk has a 68% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Potapova (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 20.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Marta Kostyuk vs. Anastasia Potapova odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kostyuk | Potapova |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -275 | +240 |
| First Set | -250 | +200 |
| Game Spread | -4.5 (-108) | +4.5 (-124) |
| Total Games | o20.5 (-125) | u20.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kostyuk vs. Potapova picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kostyuk | -275 |
| First Set | Potapova | -125 |
According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is Marta Kostyuk to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Kostyuk vs. Potapova updates and essential details
The WTA Madrid Open match between Marta Kostyuk and Anastasia Potapova is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: Marta Kostyuk vs. Anastasia Potapova
- Date: Thursday, April 30, 2026
- Approx. Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Tournament: WTA Madrid, Spain Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Semifinals
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Marta Kostyuk, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Anastasia Potapova at the WTA Madrid Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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