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Read Article Martin Landaluce vs. Daniil Medvedev prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
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Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Landaluce vs Medvedev predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Martin Landaluce will face Daniil Medvedev in the quarterfinals at the ATP Rome event on Thursday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Daniil Medvedev as the most likely winner of the Landaluce vs. Medvedev match.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Landaluce vs. Medvedev prediction: Who will win and advance to the semifinals?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Landaluce-Medvedev men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Medvedev a 72% chance of beating Landaluce at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Medvedev has a 68% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Landaluce (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the **over/under of 21.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Martin Landaluce vs. Daniil Medvedev odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Landaluce | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +275 | -302 |
| First Set | +175 | -227 |
| Game Spread | +4.5 (-132) | -4.5 (+100) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-112) | u21.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Landaluce vs. Medvedev picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Landaluce | +275 |
| First Set | Medvedev | -112 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Landaluce vs. Medvedev updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Martin Landaluce and Daniil Medvedev is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Martin Landaluce vs. Daniil Medvedev
- Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
- Approx. Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Quarterfinals
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Daniil Medvedev, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Martin Landaluce at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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