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Matteo Arnaldi vs. Alexander Zverev prediction, odds, picks for ATP Vienna Open 2025
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer
Get Arnaldi vs Zverev predictions for ATP Vienna Open.
Matteo Arnaldi will square off with Alexander Zverev in the round of 16 at the ATP Vienna event on Thursday.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Alexander Zverev as the most likely winner of the Arnaldi vs. Zverev match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Arnaldi vs. Zverev prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Arnaldi-Zverev men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Zverev a 72% chance of defeating Arnaldi at the ATP Vienna Open tournament.
Additionally, Zverev has a 66% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Zverev (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 56% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Matteo Arnaldi vs. Alexander Zverev odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Arnaldi | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +250 | -300 |
| First Set | +200 | -250 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-110) | +3.5 (-122) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-124) | u22.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Arnaldi vs. Zverev picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arnaldi | +250 |
| First Set | Zverev | -108 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Matteo Arnaldi to win the first set.
Arnaldi vs. Zverev updates and essential details
The ATP Vienna Open match between Matteo Arnaldi and Alexander Zverev is scheduled to begin on Thursday at 11:00AM ET.
- Who: Matteo Arnaldi vs. Alexander Zverev
- Date: Thursday, October 23, 2025
- Approx. Time: 11:00AM ET/8:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Vienna, Austria Men's Singles 2025
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Alexander Zverev, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat Matteo Arnaldi at the ATP Vienna Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Arnaldi vs. Zverev insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.
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