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North QLD Cowboys vs. Melbourne Storm prediction: Why Storm are favored to win Saturday's NRL Round 4 matchup [3/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get North QLD Cowboys vs Melbourne Storm predictions for NRL Saturday.
The North QLD Cowboys will square off with the favored Melbourne Storm in National Rugby League (NRL) action at Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday, beginning at 4:35 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NRL model predicts the Storm as the most likely winner of the Storm vs. Cowboys game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Cowboys vs. Storm prediction: Who will win Round 4 game?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NRL game between the Storm and Cowboys, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Storm an 80% chance of defeating the Cowboys.
According to our model, the Storm (-12.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 52.5 points has a 59% chance of staying under.
Storm vs. Cowboys odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Storm | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -385 | +275 |
| Line (Spread) | -12.5 (-105) | +12.5 (-120) |
| Total | o52.5 (-120) | u52.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Storm vs. Cowboys picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Storm -12.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Storm | bet_rivers_in-385 |
| Total | Under 52.5 | -105 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 52.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cowboys vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rugby league game between the Cowboys and Storm at Queensland Country Bank Stadium is scheduled to begin at 4:35 AM ET.
- Who: Melbourne Storm vs. North QLD Cowboys
- Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
- Time: 4:35 AM ET/1:35AM PT
- Venue: Queensland Country Bank Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Storm, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat the Cowboys on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Storm vs. Cowboys insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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