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Michigan State vs. Iowa prediction: Why Iowa is favored to win in college football Week 13, 2025

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Michigan State vs Iowa predictions for college football Saturday.

Michigan State-Iowa Predictions and Game Preview.
Michigan State vs. Iowa college football gameday prediction for Saturday, November 22, 2025.

Iowa will square off with Michigan State in Week 13 college football action at Kinnick Stadium on Saturday, commencing at 3:30PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven college football model projects Iowa as the most likely winner of the Michigan State vs. Iowa game.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Michigan State vs. Iowa prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Michigan State vs. Iowa 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Iowa a 91% chance of beating Michigan State. Our predicted final score has Iowa winning 31-13.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Michigan State and Iowa each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 42.5 points has a 58% chance of staying under.

 

Michigan State vs. Iowa odds

We have researched the best College Football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Michigan State Iowa
Spread +17.5 (-105) -17.5 (-102)
Moneyline +730 -850
Total o42.5 (-110) u42.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Michigan State vs. Iowa picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Iowa -17.5 -102
Moneyline Iowa -850
Total Under 42.5 -108

According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 42.5 total points.

 

Michigan State vs. Iowa game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's college football action between Iowa and Michigan State at Kinnick Stadium is scheduled to begin at 3:30PM ET.

  • Who: Michigan State vs. Iowa
  • Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
  • Time: 3:30PM ET/12:30PM PT
  • Venue: Kinnick Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict Iowa, with a 91% win probability, will likely beat Michigan State on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Michigan State vs. Iowa insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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