Michigan State vs. Iowa prediction: Why Iowa is favored to win women's college basketball matchup [1/18/2026]

Iowa will take on Michigan State in women's college basketball action at Carver-Hawkeye Arena on Sunday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' new women's basketball model predicts Iowa as the most likely winner of the Michigan State vs. Iowa game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Michigan State vs. Iowa prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's women's basketball matchup between Michigan State and Iowa 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Iowa a 73% chance of beating Michigan State.

According to our model, the 147.5-point over/under has a 57% chance of staying under.

Michigan State vs. Iowa odds

We have researched the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Michigan State vs. Iowa picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: