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Brewers vs. Red Sox prediction: Milwaukee favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [4/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox predictions for MLB Monday.
The Boston Red Sox will take on the Milwaukee Brewers, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Fenway Park on Monday, commencing at 6:45 PM ET.
The Red Sox will send Brayan Bello (0-1, 9.64 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Brandon Woodruff (1-0, 3.60 ERA) for the Brewers.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Brewers a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Red Sox.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's Brewers vs. Red Sox matchup, including best bets and picks.
Brewers vs. Red Sox prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's MLB matchup between the Brewers and Red Sox, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Brewers a 54% chance of defeating the Red Sox.
According to our model, the Red Sox (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Brewers vs. Red Sox odds [4/6/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Brewers | Red Sox |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+132) | +1.5 (-150) |
| Moneyline | -123 | +115 |
| Total | o8 (-112) | u8 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Brewers vs. Red Sox picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Red Sox +1.5 | -150 |
| Moneyline | Brewers | -123 |
| Total | Over 8 | -112 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Brewers vs. Red Sox game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB action between the Red Sox and Brewers at Fenway Park is scheduled to start at 6:45 PM ET.
- Who: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox
- Date: Monday, April 6, 2026
- Time: 6:45 PM ET/3:45PM PT
- Venue: Fenway Park
Conclusion
We predict the Brewers, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Brewers vs. Red Sox insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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