Wild vs. Stars prediction: Dallas favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [4/28/2026]

NHL action continues on Tuesday at 8:00 PM ET as the Minnesota Wild square off with the Dallas Stars in the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs at American Airlines Center.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Stars a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Wild.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's Wild vs. Stars matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Wild vs. Stars prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Wild and Stars, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Stars a 54% chance of defeating the Wild.

According to our model, the Wild (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of going over.

Wild vs. Stars odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Wild	Stars
Puck Line	+1.5 (-235)	-1.5 (+198)
Moneyline	+105	-122
Total	o5.5 (-120)	u5.5 (+102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Wild vs. Stars picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Stars -1.5	+198
Moneyline	Stars	-122
Total	Over 5.5	-120

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Wild vs. Stars player props

Who will score a goal in Wild vs. Stars?

According to our model, Kirill Kaprizov is most likely to score an anytime goal in Wild vs. Stars.

Our projections give Kaprizov a 38.7% chance of scoring a goal at American Airlines Center, while the star is an 8.5% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Minnesota Wild

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Kirill Kaprizov	38.7%
Matt Boldy	26.6%
Joel Ek	20.5%
Ryan Hartman	19.0%
Danila Yurov	18.3%

Dallas Stars

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Jason Robertson	36.9%
Wyatt Johnston	36.4%
Mikko Rantanen	34.4%
Matt Duchene	24.9%
Mavrik Bourque	23.1%

First goal scorer predictions

Minnesota Wild

Player	First Goal Probability
Kirill Kaprizov	8.5%
Matt Boldy	5.2%
Ryan Hartman	3.9%
Joel Ek	3.6%
Danila Yurov	3.3%

Dallas Stars

Player	First Goal Probability
Wyatt Johnston	7.4%
Jason Robertson	7.2%
Mikko Rantanen	7.1%
Matt Duchene	4.5%
Mavrik Bourque	3.9%

Wild vs. Stars game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's matchup between the Stars and Wild in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Wild vs. Dallas Stars
• Date: Tuesday, April 28, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: American Airlines Center

The Stanley Cup Playoffs is an elimination tournament in the NHL to determine the winner of the Stanley Cup.

A total of 16 teams, including the Wild and Stars, made the 2026 NHL Playoffs, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.

Each round of the NHL Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.

Conclusion

We predict the Stars, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Wild in Tuesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.