Wild vs. Lightning prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [3/24/2026]

The Tampa Bay Lightning will square off with the Minnesota Wild in NHL action at Benchmark International Arena on Tuesday, commencing at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Lightning as the most likely winner of the Wild vs. Lightning game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Wild vs. Lightning prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Wild and Lightning 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lightning a 59% chance of defeating the Wild.

According to our model, the Wild (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

Wild vs. Lightning odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Wild	Lightning
Puck Line	+1.5 (-180)	-1.5 (+152)
Moneyline	+132	-148
Total	o6.5 (+104)	u6.5 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Wild vs. Lightning picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Wild +1.5	-180
Moneyline	Lightning	-148
Total	Under 6.5	-120

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Wild vs. Lightning player props

Who will score a goal in Wild vs. Lightning?

According to our model, Kirill Kaprizov is most likely to score an anytime goal in Wild vs. Lightning.

Our projections give Kaprizov a 40.7% chance of scoring a goal at Benchmark International Arena, while the star is an 8.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Minnesota Wild

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Kirill Kaprizov	40.7%
Matt Boldy	28.6%
Joel Ek	24.1%
Vladimir Tarasenko	17.3%
Mats Zuccarello	17.0%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Nikita Kucherov	39.3%
Brayden Point	39.2%
Jake Guentzel	38.5%
Brandon Hagel	30.4%
Anthony Cirelli	24.7%

First goal scorer predictions

Minnesota Wild

Player	First Goal Probability
Kirill Kaprizov	8.0%
Matt Boldy	5.7%
Joel Ek	5.0%
Mats Zuccarello	3.1%
Danila Yurov	3.0%

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	First Goal Probability
Jake Guentzel	8.6%
Nikita Kucherov	8.0%
Brayden Point	7.5%
Brandon Hagel	5.5%
Anthony Cirelli	4.6%

Wild vs. Lightning game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's game between the Lightning and Wild at Benchmark International Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Minnesota Wild vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
• Date: Tuesday, March 24, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Benchmark International Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Lightning, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Wild on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Wild vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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