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Wild vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [1/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Minnesota Wild vs Toronto Maple Leafs predictions for NHL Monday.
The Toronto Maple Leafs will take on the Minnesota Wild, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Maple Leafs a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Wild.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's Wild vs. Maple Leafs matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Wild vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL game between the Wild and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Maple Leafs a 52% chance of defeating the Wild.
According to our model, the Wild (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Wild vs. Maple Leafs odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wild | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-270) | -1.5 (+220) |
| Moneyline | -110 | -102 |
| Total | o6 (-110) | u6 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wild vs. Maple Leafs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Maple Leafs -1.5 | +220 |
| Moneyline | Maple Leafs | -102 |
| Total | Under 6 | -110 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Maple Leafs to win.
Wild vs. Maple Leafs player props
Who will score a goal in Wild vs. Maple Leafs?
According to our model, Auston Matthews is most likely to score an anytime goal in Wild vs. Maple Leafs.
Our projections give Matthews a 50.0% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the star is an 11.9% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Minnesota Wild
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | 47.0% |
| Ryan Hartman | 26.5% |
| Danila Yurov | 26.0% |
| Mats Zuccarello | 24.2% |
| Quinn Hughes | 20.5% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 50.0% |
| John Tavares | 33.3% |
| Bobby McMann | 30.7% |
| Matias Maccelli | 22.5% |
| Scott Laughton | 19.4% |
First goal scorer predictions
Minnesota Wild
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | 10.8% |
| Danila Yurov | 5.7% |
| Ryan Hartman | 4.7% |
| Mats Zuccarello | 4.3% |
| Quinn Hughes | 3.6% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 11.9% |
| John Tavares | 6.2% |
| Bobby McMann | 5.8% |
| Matias Maccelli | 4.2% |
| Scott Laughton | 3.2% |
Wild vs. Maple Leafs game-day updates and essential details
Monday's action between the Maple Leafs and Wild at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Wild vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Monday, January 19, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Wild on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Wild vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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