Jul 3, 2026
Blue Jays vs. Mariners prediction: Toronto favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [7/3/2026]
Read Article MLB picks today: Friday's MLB best bets include Brewers vs. Diamondbacks play [7/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Friday, July 3, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for July 3, 2026 are here, with Brewers vs. Diamondbacks and Mets vs. Braves among the top plays identified by our model across Friday’s MLB slate.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest baseball odds to discover genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets today [7/3, updated 12:51PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 baseball bets, ranked by edge for Friday, July 3, 2026.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Over 8.5 runs (-117)
- Edge: 9.0%
- Probability: 62.9%
- Matchup: Brewers vs. Diamondbacks (9:45PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Brewers vs. Diamondbacks at -117 odds. A 62.9% probability produces an edge of 9.0%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Mets vs. Braves Over 9.5 runs (+122)
- Edge: 6.3%
- Probability: 51.4%
- Matchup: Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
Mets vs. Braves over 9.5 runs carries a 6.3% edge and a probability of 51.4% at +122 odds, according to our model.
Giants vs. Rockies Over 11.5 runs (+104)
- Edge: 5.9%
- Probability: 54.9%
- Matchup: Giants vs. Rockies (8:10PM ET)
Giants vs. Rockies Over 11.5 runs at +104 odds shows a 5.9% edge, supported by a 54.9% probability in simulations.
Red Sox vs. Angels over 7.5 runs (-102)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 56.1%
- Matchup: Red Sox vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)
A 5.6% edge and 56.1% probability make Red Sox vs. Angels over 7.5 runs a value play in the Red Sox vs. Angels matchup, per our model.
Twins vs. Yankees Over 9.5 runs (-115)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 58.9%
- Matchup: Twins vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)
Twins vs. Yankees Over 9.5 runs at -115 odds presents a 5.4% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.9%.
White Sox vs. Guardians Over 8.5 runs (+115)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 51.8%
- Matchup: White Sox vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET)
Our model finds value on Over 8.5 runs in White Sox vs. Guardians at +115 odds, supported by an edge of 5.3%.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Over 7.5 runs (+125)
- Edge: 5.2%
- Probability: 49.7%
- Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Mariners (10:10PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Blue Jays vs. Mariners Over 7.5 runs at +125 odds. A 49.7% probability produces a 5.2% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Orioles vs. Reds Over 10.5 runs (+104)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 54.1%
- Matchup: Orioles vs. Reds (7:10PM ET)
A 5.1% edge on a 54.1% probability makes Over 10.5 runs at +104 odds a solid value play in today's Orioles vs. Reds matchup.
Cardinals vs. CubsUnder 10.5 runs (+111)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 52.5%
- Matchup: Cardinals vs. Cubs (4:05PM ET)
Our model projects value on Under 10.5 runs at +111 odds. A 52.5% probability produces a 5.1% edge, making the Under the favorable side in today's matchup.
Pirates vs. Nationals Over 9.5 runs (-102)
- Edge: 4.9%
- Probability: 55.3%
- Matchup: Pirates vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Pirates vs. Nationals Over 9.5 runs at -102 odds shows a 55.3% probability and a 4.9% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Friday, 7/3/2026
As of 12:51PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers vs. Diamondbacks | Over 8.5 runs | -117 @ Polymarket | 9.0% | 62.9% |
| Mets vs. Braves | Over 9.5 runs | +122 @ Polymarket | 6.3% | 51.4% |
| Giants vs. Rockies | Over 11.5 Runs | +104 @ Polymarket | 5.9% | 54.9% |
| Red Sox vs. Angels | Over 7.5 runs | -102 @ Novig | 5.6% | 56.1% |
| Twins vs. Yankees | Over 9.5 Runs | -115 @ Novig | 5.4% | 58.9% |
| White Sox vs. Guardians | Over 8.5 Runs | +115 @ Novig | 5.3% | 51.8% |
| Blue Jays vs. Mariners | Over 7.5 Runs | +125 @ Novig | 5.2% | 49.7% |
| Orioles vs. Reds | Over 10.5 Runs | +104 @ Novig | 5.1% | 54.1% |
| Cardinals vs. Cubs | Under 10.5 Runs | +111 @ Novig | 5.1% | 52.5% |
| Pirates vs. Nationals | Over 9.5 Runs | -102 @ Novig | 4.9% | 55.3% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [7/3/2026]
- Cardinals vs. Cubs (4:05PM ET, Friday)
- Pirates vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Friday)
- Twins vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Friday)
- Orioles vs. Reds (7:10PM ET, Friday)
- White Sox vs. Guardians (7:10PM ET, Friday)
- Mets vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Friday)
- Giants vs. Rockies (8:10PM ET, Friday)
- Rays vs. Astros (8:15PM ET, Friday)
- Red Sox vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Friday)
- Marlins vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET, Friday)
- Brewers vs. D-Backs (9:45PM ET, Friday)
- Padres vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET, Friday)
- Blue Jays vs. Mariners (10:10PM ET, Friday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for July 3, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Brewers vs. Diamondbacks matchup and over 9.5 runs in the Mets vs. Braves matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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