MLB picks today: Thursday's MLB best bets include Yankees vs. Red Sox play [6/25/2026]
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Thursday, June 25, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for June 25, 2026 are here, with Yankees vs. Red Sox and Phillies vs. Nationals among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s MLB action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest baseball odds to unearth legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets today [6/25, updated 3:42PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s best baseball bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, June 25, 2026.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Over 7.5 runs (-115)
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 58.5%
- Matchup: Yankees vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 7.5 runs in Yankees vs. Red Sox at -115 odds. A 58.5% probability produces an edge of 5.0%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Phillies vs. Nationals Over 8.5 runs (+100)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 54.3%
- Matchup: Phillies vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET)
Phillies vs. Nationals over 8.5 runs carries a 4.3% edge and a probability of 54.3% at +100 odds, according to our model.
Astros vs. Tigers Over 8.5 runs (-120)
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 58.3%
- Matchup: Astros vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET)
Astros vs. Tigers Over 8.5 runs at -120 odds shows a 3.8% edge, supported by a 58.3% probability in simulations.
Rangers vs. Blue Jays over 7.5 runs (-115)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 57.1%
- Matchup: Rangers vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)
A 3.6% edge and 57.1% probability make Rangers vs. Blue Jays over 7.5 runs a value play in the Rangers vs. Blue Jays matchup, per our model.
Red Sox +1.5 (-125)
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 58.8%
- Matchup: Yankees vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)
Red Sox +1.5 at -125 odds presents a 3.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.8%.
Red Sox ML (+135)
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 46.6%
- Matchup: Yankees vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)
Our model finds value on Red Sox to win at +135 odds, supported by an edge of 3.2%.
Diamondbacks ML (+130)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 46.5%
- Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Diamondbacks-Cardinals to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +130 odds. A 46.5% probability produces a 3.0% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Over 8.5 runs (-120)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 57.5%
- Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET)
A 3.0% edge on a 57.5% probability makes Over 8.5 runs at -120 odds a solid value play in today's Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals matchup.
Mets ML (+102)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 52.3%
- Matchup: Cubs vs. Mets (7:10PM ET)
Our model projects value on Mets to win at +102 odds. A 52.3% probability produces a 2.9% edge, making Mets the favorable ML play in today's matchup.
MLB best bets summary: Thursday, 6/25/2026
As of 3:42PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees vs. Red Sox | Over 7.5 runs | -115 @ Kalshi | 5.0% | 58.5% |
| Phillies vs. Nationals | Over 8.5 runs | +100 @ Kalshi | 4.3% | 54.3% |
| Astros vs. Tigers | Over 8.5 Runs | -120 @ Polymarket | 3.8% | 58.3% |
| Rangers vs. Blue Jays | Over 7.5 runs | -115 @ Kalshi | 3.6% | 57.1% |
| Yankees vs. Red Sox | Red Sox +1.5 | -125 @ Kalshi | 3.3% | 58.8% |
| Yankees vs. Red Sox | Red Sox ML | +135 @ Kalshi | 3.2% | 46.6% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals | Diamondbacks ML | +130 @ Polymarket | 3.0% | 46.5% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals | Over 8.5 Runs | -120 @ Novig | 3.0% | 57.5% |
| Cubs vs. Mets | Mets ML | +102 @ Polymarket | 2.9% | 52.3% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [6/25/2026]
- Athletics vs. Giants (3:45PM ET, Thursday)
- Astros vs. Tigers (6:40PM ET, Thursday)
- Phillies vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Thursday)
- Rangers vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET, Thursday)
- Yankees vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET, Thursday)
- Cubs vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Thursday)
- D-Backs vs. Cardinals (7:45PM ET, Thursday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for June 25, 2026, featuring plays such as over 7.5 runs in the Yankees vs. Red Sox matchup and over 8.5 runs in the Phillies vs. Nationals matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
