Mariners vs. Pirates prediction: Why Seattle is favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [6/25/2026]
Get Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates predictions for MLB Thursday.
MLB action continues on Thursday at 12:35 PM ET as the Seattle Mariners square off with the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park.
The Pirates will start Bubba Chandler (2-7, 4.62 ERA), up against Bryce Miller (3-1, 1.58 ERA) for the Mariners.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model projects the Mariners as the most likely winner of the Mariners vs. Pirates game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mariners vs. Pirates prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mariners a 56.3% chance of defeating the Pirates.
According to our model, the Pirates (+1.5) have a 56.1% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 57.7% chance of going over,.
Mariners vs. Pirates odds [6/25/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mariners | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+117) | +1.5 (-128) |
| Moneyline | -144 | +134 |
| Total | o8 (-120) | u8 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mariners vs. Pirates picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Pirates +1.5 | -128 |
| Moneyline | Pirates | +134 |
| Total | Over 8 | -120 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mariners vs. Pirates game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB matchup between the Pirates and Mariners at PNC Park is scheduled to begin at 12:35 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
- Time: 12:35 PM ET/9:35AM PT
- Venue: PNC Park
Conclusion
We predict the Mariners, with a 56.3% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
