Jun 16, 2026
Royals vs. Nationals prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [6/16/2026]
Read Article Home run predictions for Dinger Tuesday include Shohei Ohtani, Cal Raleigh [6/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Tuesday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, June 16, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, based on Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Tuesday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, built to highlight the top home run picks today.
Home run predictions for June 16, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a value pick the model rates as value at +587.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 24.6% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 24.3% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 22.8% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 21.2% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 21.2% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 19.4% |
| Michael Busch (Cubs) | 19.3% |
| Ben Rice (Yankees) | 19.2% |
| Juan Soto (Mets) | 19.1% |
| Tyler Soderstrom (Athletics) | 18.9% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.6% chance to go yard, followed by Nick Kurtz (24.3%) and Shea Langeliers (22.8%).
Cal Raleigh and Kyle Schwarber are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Tuesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Tuesday's home run picks [6/16/2026]
Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, highlights today’s highest-rated home run prop.
Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 18.6%
- Odds: +587
- Edge: 4.0%
- Game: Rays vs. Dodgers (10:10 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Drew Rasmussen
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +587 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 4.0% edge.
Against Rays starter Drew Rasmussen, the data supports Tucker as one of Tuesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props — and a natural fit for Dinger Tuesday, a night built around finding value in long-ball matchups.
Originally sparked by sportsbook offers rewarding bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has evolved into a weekly tradition for MLB bettors — where clear, model-driven insights like these can help separate signal from noise.
Pro users have access to a total of 15 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For June 16, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Nick Kurtz and Shea Langeliers projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kyle Tucker who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.0% edge at +587 odds.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure
