Home run predictions for Playoffs Tuesday include Aaron Judge, Jazz Chisholm [10/7/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, October 7, 2025, are in—with Aaron Judge topping the list per the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Tuesday's HR projections pull from our full list of home run predictions, which simulate every MLB playoffs matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top slugging candidates today.

Home run predictions for October 7, 2025

Player (Team)	HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees)	26.3%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees)	24.0%
Cal Raleigh (Mariners)	23.4%
Eugenio Suarez (Mariners)	🔒
Jazz Chisholm (Yankees)	🔒
Kerry Carpenter (Tigers)	🔒
Ben Rice (Yankees)	🔒
Julio Rodriguez (Mariners)	🔒
Trent Grisham (Yankees)	🔒
Vladimir Guerrero (Blue Jays)	🔒

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 26.3% chance to go yard, followed by Giancarlo Stanton (24.0%) and Cal Raleigh (23.4%).

Eugenio Suarez and Jazz Chisholm are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Tuesday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Tuesday's playoffs home run picks [10/7/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and evaluating key factors like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Dominic Canzone (Mariners) to hit a home run

• Probability: 15.2%
• Odds: +750
• Edge: 3.5%
• Game: Mariners vs. Tigers (4:08PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Jack Flaherty

Despite not cracking the top 10 in today's home run predictions, Seattle slugger Dominic Canzone offers serious value at +750 with BetMGM, showing an edge of 3.5%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

With Jack Flaherty on the mound for the Tigers, this combination of betting value and power potential makes Canzone one of the best home run picks today—and a smart play for Dinger Tuesday, a popular night for home run betting with a packed MLB schedule.

Originally popularized by sportsbook promos that reward bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has become a weekly home run frenzy—making projections like these even more valuable for bettors and fans alike.

For more expert MLB picks and data-led MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 20 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB Postseason schedule for today [Tuesday, October 7, 2025]

• Mariners vs. Tigers (4:08PM ET, Tuesday)
• Blue Jays vs. Yankees (8:08PM ET, Tuesday)

Conclusion

For October 7, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Cal Raleigh projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Dominic Canzone who stands out as the best value bet, offering an appealing 3.5% edge at +750 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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