Jun 26, 2026
Rockies vs. Twins prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [6/26/2026]
Read Article Mariners vs. Pirates prediction: Why Seattle is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [6/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates predictions for MLB Wednesday.
MLB action continues on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET as the Seattle Mariners square off with the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park.
The Pirates will have Braxton Ashcraft (6-3, 3.18 ERA) as their starting pitcher, up against Bryan Woo (6-5, 3.94 ERA) for the Mariners.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Mariners a slight edge with a 51.1% win probability over the Pirates.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's Mariners vs. Pirates matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mariners vs. Pirates prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB matchup between the Mariners and Pirates, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Mariners a 51.1% chance of defeating the Pirates.
According to our model, the Mariners (+1.5) have a 67.0% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 53.4% chance of going over,.
Mariners vs. Pirates odds [6/24/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mariners | Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-220) | -1.5 (+165) |
| Moneyline | -102 | -115 |
| Total | o8 (-102) | u8 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mariners vs. Pirates picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mariners +1.5 | -220 |
| Moneyline | Mariners | -102 |
| Total | Over 8 | -102 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mariners vs. Pirates game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB action between the Pirates and Mariners at PNC Park is scheduled to begin at 6:40 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- Date: Wednesday, June 24, 2026
- Time: 6:40 PM ET/3:40PM PT
- Venue: PNC Park
Conclusion
We predict the Mariners, with a 51.1% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure
