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Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Wednesday has +620 odds [4/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Wednesday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, April 8, 2026, feature Aaron Judge as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Wednesday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run picks today.
Home run predictions for April 8, 2026
See which hitters join Judge on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +620.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 25.3% |
| Yordan Alvarez (Astros) | 23.2% |
| Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) | 23.0% |
| Christian Walker (Astros) | 19.4% |
| Ben Rice (Yankees) | 19.4% |
| Jazz Chisholm (Yankees) | 18.5% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 18.1% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 17.7% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 17.4% |
| Trent Grisham (Yankees) | 17.3% |
Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 25.3% chance to go yard, followed by Yordan Alvarez (23.2%) and Giancarlo Stanton (23.0%).
Christian Walker and Ben Rice are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Wednesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Wednesday's home run picks [4/8/2026]
Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, identifies today’s highest-rated home run prop.
Austin Wells (Yankees) to hit a home run
- Probability: 16.7%
- Odds: +620
- Edge: 2.8%
- Game: Athletics vs. Yankees (7:05 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Luis Severino
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, New York slugger Austin Wells rates as a value play at +620 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 2.8% edge.
Against Athletics starter Luis Severino, the data supports Wells as one of Wednesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 2 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For April 8, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Yordan Alvarez and Giancarlo Stanton projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Austin Wells who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.8% edge at +620 odds.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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