Jun 10, 2026
Yankees vs. Guardians prediction: Why Yankees are favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [6/10/2026]
Read Article Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Wednesday has +950 odds [6/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Wednesday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, June 10, 2026, feature Nick Kurtz as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Wednesday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for June 10, 2026
See which hitters join Kurtz on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +950.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 28.2% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 26.2% |
| Brent Rooker (Athletics) | 24.7% |
| Tyler Soderstrom (Athletics) | 22.3% |
| Michael Busch (Cubs) | 21.7% |
| Seiya Suzuki (Cubs) | 20.2% |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (Cubs) | 19.5% |
| Juan Soto (Mets) | 18.9% |
| Jake Bauers (Brewers) | 18.3% |
| Ronald Acuna (Braves) | 18.0% |
Our analysis shows Kurtz leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 28.2% chance to go deep, followed by Shea Langeliers (26.2%) and Brent Rooker (24.7%).
Tyler Soderstrom and Michael Busch are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Wednesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Wednesday's home run picks [6/10/2026]
After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.
Brett Baty (Mets) to hit a home run
- Probability: 14.1%
- Odds: +950
- Edge: 4.6%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Mets (7:10 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Andre Pallante
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, New York slugger Brett Baty rates as a value play at +950 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 4.6% edge.
Against Cardinals starter Andre Pallante, the data supports Baty as one of Wednesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of eight home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For June 10, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Nick Kurtz, Shea Langeliers and Brent Rooker projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Brett Baty who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 4.6% edge at +950 odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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