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MLB player props today: Good Friday best props include Bailey Ober [4/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get MLB player props today with projections for Friday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for Good Friday, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Bailey Ober, Michael Lorenzen and Eury Perez.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Braves vs. D-Backs and Padres vs. Red Sox, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop bets for Friday, 4/3
Sourced from 85+ total props today, below are the top ten MLB player props for April 3, ranked by probability.
Bailey Ober over 1.5 earned runs (-154)
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 72.7%
- Game: Rays vs. Twins (4:10PM ET)
Our model has found value on Minnesota's Bailey Ober over 1.5 earned runs. A probability of 72.7% gives this play an edge of 2.8% at -154 odds.
Michael Lorenzen over 2.5 earned runs (-155)
- Edge: 9.3%
- Probability: 70.0%
- Game: Phillies vs. Rockies (4:10PM ET)
Michael Lorenzen’s earned runs prop shows a 70.0% probability and an 9.3% edge at -155 odds, according to our model.
Eury Perez under 2.5 walks allowed (-174)
- Edge: 4.4%
- Probability: 67.9%
- Game: Marlins vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET)
The data highlights value on Eury Perez under 2.5 walks allowed, with simulations showing a 67.9% probability and a 4.4% edge at -174.
Chad Patrick over 3.5 strikeouts (-138)
- Edge: 8.1%
- Probability: 66.1%
- Game: Brewers vs. Royals (7:45PM ET)
Our model finds value on Chad Patrick over 3.5 strikeouts, with a 66.1% probability and an edge of 8.1% at -138 odds.
Joe Boyle over 1.5 earned runs (-134)
- Edge: 8.3%
- Probability: 65.6%
- Game: Rays vs. Twins (4:10PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Joe Boyle over 1.5 earned runs for Tampa Bay, showing an edge of 8.3% at -134 odds.
Michael King under 2.5 walks allowed (-154)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 65.4%
- Game: Padres vs. Red Sox (2:10PM ET)
Michael King’s walks allowed prop shows an edge of 4.8% at -154 odds, supported by a 65.4% probability according to our model.
Emmet Sheehan over 1.5 earned runs (-134)
- Edge: 7.9%
- Probability: 65.2%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Nationals (1:05PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Emmet Sheehan over 1.5 earned runs for LA Dodgers, with a 65.2% probability and a 7.9% edge at -134 odds.
Michael King over 1.5 earned runs (-160)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 65.0%
- Game: Padres vs. Red Sox (2:10PM ET)
The data shows value on Michael King over 1.5 earned runs, supported by a 65.0% probability at -160 odds and an edge of 3.4%.
Michael Lorenzen under 4.5 strikeouts (-154)
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 64.3%
- Game: Phillies vs. Rockies (4:10PM ET)
A 3.7% edge on the under 1.5 strikeouts line makes Michael Lorenzen a value play in Phillies vs. Rockies, supported by a 64.3% probability at -154 odds.
Reid Detmers over 5.5 strikeouts (-158)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 63.9%
- Game: Mariners vs. Angels (9:38PM ET)
Simulations show value on Reid Detmers over 5.5 strikeouts here, with a 63.9% probability and 2.6% edge at -158 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Friday, April 3, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:53PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rays vs. Twins | Bailey Ober over 1.5 earned runs | -154 @ DraftKings | 2.8% | 72.7% |
| Phillies vs. Rockies | Michael Lorenzen over 2.5 earned runs | -155 @ DraftKings | 9.3% | 70.0% |
| Marlins vs. Yankees | Eury Perez under 2.5 walks allowed | -174 @ DraftKings | 8.1% | 66.1% |
| Brewers vs. Royals | Chad Patrick over 3.5 strikeouts | -138 @ FanDuel | 8.1% | 66.1% |
| Rays vs. Twins | Joe Boyle over 1.5 earned runs | -134 @ DraftKings | 8.3% | 65.6% |
| Padres vs. Red Sox | Michael King under 2.5 walks allowed | -154 @ DraftKings | 4.8% | 65.4% |
| Dodgers vs. Nationals | Emmet Sheehan over 1.5 earned runs | -134 @ DraftKings | 7.9% | 65.2% |
| Padres vs. Red Sox | Michael King over 1.5 earned runs | -160 @ DraftKings | 3.4% | 65.0% |
| Phillies vs. Rockies | Michael Lorenzen under 1.5 strikeouts | -154 @ FanDuel | 3.7% | 64.3% |
| Mariners vs. Angels | Reid Detmers over 5.5 strikeouts | -158 @ FanDuel | 2.6% | 63.9% |
Conclusion
For April 3, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Bailey Ober, Michael Lorenzen and Eury Perez. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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