MLB player props today: Friday's best props include Lourdes Gurriel Jr. [5/22/2026]

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to get a hit (-205)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 70.1%
• Game: Rockies vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Arizona's Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to get a hit. A probability of 70.1% gives this play an edge of 2.9% at -205 odds.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa to get a hit (-142)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 67.9%
• Game: Twins vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s to get a hit prop shows a 67.9% probability and an 9.2% edge at -142 odds, according to our model.

Caleb Durbin to get a hit (-145)

• Edge: 7.6%
• Probability: 66.8%
• Game: Twins vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)

The data highlights value on Caleb Durbin to get a hit, with simulations showing a 66.8% probability and a 7.6% edge at -145.

Logan Henderson under 5.5 strikeouts (-148)

• Edge: 6.9%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Logan Henderson under 5.5 strikeouts, with a 66.6% probability and an edge of 6.9% at -148 odds.

Nick Sogard to get a hit (-160)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 64.4%
• Game: Twins vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Nick Sogard to get a hit for Boston, showing an edge of 2.8% at -160 odds.

Justin Wrobleski over 3.5 strikeouts (-158)

• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 63.9%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Brewers (7:40PM ET)

Justin Wrobleski’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 2.7% at -158 odds, supported by a 63.9% probability according to our model.

Carlos Narvaez over 0.5 bases (-120)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 62.7%
• Game: Twins vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Carlos Narvaez over 0.5 bases for Boston, with a 62.7% probability and a 8.1% edge at -120 odds.

Carlos Narvaez to get a hit (-125)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 62.7%
• Game: Twins vs. Red Sox (7:10PM ET)

The data shows value on Carlos Narvaez to get a hit, supported by a 62.7% probability at -125 odds and an edge of 7.2%.

Noah Cameron under 4.5 strikeouts (-110)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 61.6%
• Game: Mariners vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)

A 9.2% edge on the under 0.5 strikeouts line makes Noah Cameron a value play in Mariners vs. Royals, supported by a 61.6% probability at -110 odds.

Jameson Taillon under 4.5 strikeouts (-124)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 60.6%
• Game: Astros vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)

Simulations show value on Jameson Taillon under 4.5 strikeouts here, with a 60.6% probability and 5.2% edge at -124 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Friday, May 22, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:09AM ET:

Conclusion

For May 22, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Isiah Kiner-Falefa and Caleb Durbin. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.