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MLB player props today: Saturday's best props include Emmet Sheehan [4/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB player props today with projections for Saturday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for April 11, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Emmet Sheehan, Ryan Feltner and Kyle Harrison.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Guardians vs. Braves and Giants vs. Orioles, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Saturday, 4/11
Sourced from 40+ total props today, below are the top ten MLB player props for April 11, ranked by probability.
Emmet Sheehan over 1.5 earned runs (-162)
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 65.1%
- Game: Rangers vs. Dodgers (9:10PM ET)
Our model has found value on LA Dodgers' Emmet Sheehan over 1.5 earned runs. A probability of 65.1% gives this play an edge of 3.3% at -162 odds.
Ryan Feltner under 5.5 hits allowed (-143)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 63.3%
- Game: Rockies vs. Padres (8:40PM ET)
Ryan Feltner’s hits allowed prop shows a 63.3% probability and an 4.5% edge at -143 odds, according to our model.
Emmet Sheehan over 15.5 outs recorded (-117)
- Edge: 8.7%
- Probability: 62.6%
- Game: Rangers vs. Dodgers (9:10PM ET)
The data highlights value on Emmet Sheehan over 15.5 outs recorded, with simulations showing a 62.6% probability and an 8.7% edge at -117.
Kyle Harrison over 1.5 earned runs (-142)
- Edge: 3.3%
- Probability: 62.0%
- Game: Nationals vs. Brewers (7:10PM ET)
Our model finds value on Kyle Harrison over 1.5 earned runs, with a 62.0% probability and an edge of 3.3% at -142 odds.
Nick Martinez over 4.5 strikeouts (-114)
- Edge: 8.1%
- Probability: 61.4%
- Game: Yankees vs. Rays (6:10PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Nick Martinez over 4.5 strikeouts for Tampa Bay, showing an edge of 8.1% at -114 odds.
Ryan Feltner over 2.5 earned runs (-116)
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 61.1%
- Game: Rockies vs. Padres (8:40PM ET)
Ryan Feltner’s earned runs prop shows an edge of 7.4% at -116 odds, supported by a 61.1% probability according to our model.
Max Fried under 5.5 hits allowed (-122)
- Edge: 5.6%
- Probability: 60.6%
- Game: Yankees vs. Rays (6:10PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Max Fried under 5.5 hits allowed for NY Yankees, with a 60.6% probability and a 5.6% edge at -122 odds.
Martin Perez over 15.5 outs recorded (+120)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 57.2%
- Game: Guardians vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
The data shows value on Martin Perez over 15.5 outs recorded, supported by a 57.2% probability at +120 odds and an edge of 3.4%.
Nick Martinez over 2.5 earned runs (-116)
- Edge: 3.1%
- Probability: 56.8%
- Game: Yankees vs. Rays (6:10PM ET)
A 3.1% edge on the over 15.5 earned runs line makes Nick Martinez a value play in Yankees vs. Rays, supported by a 56.8% probability at -116 odds.
Kyle Harrison over 15.5 outs recorded (+114)
- Edge: 9.5%
- Probability: 56.2%
- Game: Nationals vs. Brewers (7:10PM ET)
Simulations show value on Kyle Harrison over 15.5 outs recorded here, with a 56.2% probability and 9.5% edge at +114 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Saturday, April 11, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:33PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers vs. Dodgers | Emmet Sheehan over 1.5 earned runs | -162 @ DraftKings | 3.3% | 65.1% |
| Rockies vs. Padres | Ryan Feltner under 5.5 hits allowed | -143 @ DraftKings | 4.5% | 63.3% |
| Rangers vs. Dodgers | Emmet Sheehan over 15.5 outs recorded | -117 @ DraftKings | 3.3% | 62.0% |
| Nationals vs. Brewers | Kyle Harrison over 1.5 earned runs | -142 @ DraftKings | 3.3% | 62.0% |
| Yankees vs. Rays | Nick Martinez over 4.5 strikeouts | -114 @ DraftKings | 8.1% | 61.4% |
| Rockies vs. Padres | Ryan Feltner over 2.5 earned runs | -116 @ DraftKings | 7.4% | 61.1% |
| Yankees vs. Rays | Max Fried under 5.5 hits allowed | -122 @ DraftKings | 5.6% | 60.6% |
| Guardians vs. Braves | Martin Perez over 15.5 outs recorded | +120 @ DraftKings | 3.4% | 57.2% |
| Yankees vs. Rays | Nick Martinez over 15.5 earned runs | -116 @ DraftKings | 3.1% | 56.8% |
| Nationals vs. Brewers | Kyle Harrison over 15.5 outs recorded | +114 @ DraftKings | 9.5% | 56.2% |
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Conclusion
For April 11, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Emmet Sheehan, Ryan Feltner and Kyle Harrison. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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