Jun 20, 2026
Twins vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Why Arizona is favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [6/20/2026]
Read Article MLB player props today: Sunday's best props include Payton Tolle [6/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get MLB player props today with projections for Sunday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for June 21, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Payton Tolle, Slade Cecconi and Emmet Sheehan.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Angels vs. Athletics and Brewers vs. Braves, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop bets for Sunday, 6/21
Sourced from 35+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for June 21, ranked by probability.
Payton Tolle under 6.5 strikeouts (-161)
- Edge: 7.7%
- Probability: 69.4%
- Game: Red Sox vs. Mariners (4:10PM ET)
Our model has found value on Boston's Payton Tolle under 6.5 strikeouts. A probability of 69.4% gives this play an edge of 7.7% at -161 odds.
Slade Cecconi over 3.5 strikeouts (-155)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 68.1%
- Game: Guardians vs. Astros (2:10PM ET)
Slade Cecconi’s strikeouts prop shows a 68.1% probability and an 7.3% edge at -155 odds, according to our model.
Emmet Sheehan under 6.5 strikeouts (-130)
- Edge: 9.4%
- Probability: 65.9%
- Game: Orioles vs. Dodgers (4:10PM ET)
The data highlights value on Emmet Sheehan under 6.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 65.9% probability and a 9.4% edge at -130.
Keider Montero over 3.5 strikeouts (-123)
- Edge: 9.3%
- Probability: 64.5%
- Game: White Sox vs. Tigers (1:40PM ET)
Our model finds value on Keider Montero over 3.5 strikeouts, with a 64.5% probability and an edge of 9.3% at -123 odds.
Shohei Ohtani over 1.5 bases (-124)
- Edge: 7.8%
- Probability: 63.1%
- Game: Orioles vs. Dodgers (4:10PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Shohei Ohtani over 1.5 bases for LA Dodgers, showing an edge of 7.8% at -124 odds.
Dustin May under 5.5 strikeouts (-140)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 62.6%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Royals (2:10PM ET)
Dustin May’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 4.3% at -140 odds, supported by a 62.6% probability according to our model.
Chase Burns under 16.5 outs recorded (-131)
- Edge: 4.9%
- Probability: 61.6%
- Game: Reds vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Chase Burns under 16.5 outs recorded for Cincinnati, with a 61.6% probability and a 4.9% edge at -131 odds.
Joey Bart over 0.5 bases (-120)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 60.4%
- Game: Brewers vs. Braves (1:35PM ET)
The data shows value on Joey Bart over 0.5 bases, supported by a 60.4% probability at -120 odds and an edge of 5.8%.
Joey Bart to get a hit (-124)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 60.4%
- Game: Brewers vs. Braves (1:35PM ET)
A 5.1% edge on the to get a hit line makes Joey Bart a value play in Brewers vs. Braves, supported by a 60.4% probability at -124 odds.
Payton Tolle under 16.5 outs recorded (-102)
- Edge: 9.9%
- Probability: 60.4%
- Game: Red Sox vs. Mariners (4:10PM ET)
Simulations show value on Payton Tolle under 16.5 outs recorded here, with a 60.4% probability and 9.9% edge at -102 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Sunday, June 21, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:23AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Sox vs. Mariners | Payton Tolle under 6.5 strikeouts | -161 @ DraftKings | 7.7% | 69.4% |
| Guardians vs. Astros | Slade Cecconi over 3.5 strikeouts | -155 @ DraftKings | 7.3% | 68.1% |
| Orioles vs. Dodgers | Emmet Sheehan under 6.5 strikeouts | -130 @ FanDuel | 9.3% | 64.5% |
| White Sox vs. Tigers | Keider Montero over 3.5 strikeouts | -123 @ DraftKings | 9.3% | 64.5% |
| Orioles vs. Dodgers | Shohei Ohtani over 1.5 bases | -124 @ DraftKings | 7.8% | 63.1% |
| Cardinals vs. Royals | Dustin May under 5.5 strikeouts | -140 @ FanDuel | 4.3% | 62.6% |
| Reds vs. Yankees | Chase Burns under 16.5 outs recorded | -131 @ DraftKings | 4.9% | 61.6% |
| Brewers vs. Braves | Joey Bart over 0.5 bases | -120 @ Fanatics | 5.8% | 60.4% |
| Brewers vs. Braves | Joey Bart to get a hit | -124 @ DraftKings | 5.1% | 60.4% |
| Red Sox vs. Mariners | Payton Tolle under 16.5 outs recorded | -102 @ DraftKings | 9.9% | 60.4% |
Conclusion
For June 21, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Payton Tolle, Slade Cecconi and Emmet Sheehan. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
Advertiser disclosure
