MLB player props today: Thursday's best props include Reynaldo Lopez [4/2/2026]

Reynaldo Lopez over 14.5 outs recorded (-170)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 66.7%
• Game: Braves vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)

Our model has found value on Atlanta's Reynaldo Lopez over 14.5 outs recorded. A probability of 66.7% gives this play an edge of 3.8% at -170 odds.

Ryne Nelson under 5.5 hits allowed (-148)

• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 63.3%
• Game: Braves vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)

Ryne Nelson’s hits allowed prop shows a 63.3% probability and an 3.7% edge at -148 odds, according to our model.

Cole Ragans under 6.5 strikeouts (+110)

• Edge: 8.6%
• Probability: 57.8%
• Game: Twins vs. Royals (2:10PM ET)

The data highlights value on Cole Ragans under 6.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 57.8% probability and an 8.6% edge at +110.

Robbie Ray under 5.5 strikeouts (-109)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 57.6%
• Game: Mets vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

Our model finds value on Robbie Ray under 5.5 strikeouts, with a 57.6% probability and an edge of 5.4% at -109 odds.

Ryne Nelson under 4.5 strikeouts (-112)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 56.1%
• Game: Braves vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Ryne Nelson under 4.5 strikeouts for Arizona, showing an edge of 3.2% at -112 odds.

Ryne Nelson over 2.5 earned runs (-109)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Game: Braves vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)

Ryne Nelson’s earned runs prop shows an edge of 2.6% at -109 odds, supported by a 54.8% probability according to our model.

David Peterson under 4.5 strikeouts (+118)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 52.9%
• Game: Mets vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

Our model highlights value on David Peterson under 4.5 strikeouts for NY Mets, with a 52.9% probability and a 7.0% edge at +118 odds.

Reynaldo Lopez over 2.5 earned runs (+112)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 51.6%
• Game: Braves vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)

The data shows value on Reynaldo Lopez over 2.5 earned runs, supported by a 51.6% probability at +112 odds and an edge of 4.4%.

Taj Bradley over 4.5 strikeouts (+116)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 50.3%
• Game: Twins vs. Royals (2:10PM ET)

A 4.0% edge on the over 2.5 strikeouts line makes Taj Bradley a value play in Twins vs. Royals, supported by a 50.3% probability at +116 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Thursday, April 2, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:33AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Braves vs. D-Backs	Reynaldo Lopez over 14.5 outs recorded	-170 @ DraftKings	3.8%	66.7%
Braves vs. D-Backs	Ryne Nelson under 5.5 hits allowed	-148 @ DraftKings	3.7%	63.3%
Twins vs. Royals	Cole Ragans under 6.5 strikeouts	+110 @ DraftKings	5.4%	57.6%
Mets vs. Giants	Robbie Ray under 5.5 strikeouts	-109 @ DraftKings	5.4%	57.6%
Braves vs. D-Backs	Ryne Nelson under 4.5 strikeouts	-112 @ DraftKings	3.2%	56.1%
Braves vs. D-Backs	Ryne Nelson over 2.5 earned runs	-109 @ DraftKings	2.6%	54.8%
Mets vs. Giants	David Peterson under 4.5 strikeouts	+118 @ FanDuel	7.0%	52.9%
Braves vs. D-Backs	Reynaldo Lopez over 2.5 earned runs	+112 @ DraftKings	4.4%	51.6%
Twins vs. Royals	Taj Bradley over 2.5 strikeouts	+116 @ FanDuel	4.0%	50.3%

Conclusion

For April 2, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Reynaldo Lopez, Ryne Nelson and Cole Ragans. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.