MLB player props today: Thursday's best props include Max Fried [5/13/2026]

Dimers' MLB props are live for May 14, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Max Fried, Noah Schultz and Dylan Cease.

Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Cardinals vs. Athletics and Cubs vs. Braves, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.

List of MLB prop picks for Thursday, 5/13

Sourced from 135+ total props today, below are the top ten MLB player props for May 13, ranked by probability.

Max Fried under 2.5 walks allowed (-193)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 74.8%
• Game: Yankees vs. Orioles (1:05PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on NY Yankees' Max Fried under 2.5 walks allowed. A probability of 74.8% gives this play an edge of 8.9% at -193 odds.

Noah Schultz under 2.5 walks allowed (-154)

• Edge: 8.6%
• Probability: 69.2%
• Game: Royals vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

Noah Schultz’s walks allowed prop shows a 69.2% probability and an 8.6% edge at -154 odds, according to our model.

Dylan Cease under 2.5 walks allowed (-147)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 67.7%
• Game: Rays vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

The data highlights value on Dylan Cease under 2.5 walks allowed, with simulations showing a 67.7% probability and an 8.1% edge at -147.

Andrew Painter under 4.5 strikeouts (-160)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 66.6%
• Game: Phillies vs. Red Sox (6:45PM ET)

Our model finds value on Andrew Painter under 4.5 strikeouts, with a 66.6% probability and an edge of 5.0% at -160 odds.

Bryce Miller over 1.5 earned runs (-153)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 66.3%
• Game: Mariners vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Bryce Miller over 1.5 earned runs for Seattle, showing an edge of 5.8% at -153 odds.

Seth Lugo under 5.5 strikeouts (-126)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 65.2%
• Game: Royals vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

Seth Lugo’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 9.4% at -126 odds, supported by a 65.2% probability according to our model.

Seth Lugo over 4.5 hits allowed (-157)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 64.5%
• Game: Royals vs. White Sox (7:40PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Seth Lugo over 4.5 hits allowed for Kansas City, with a 64.5% probability and a 3.5% edge at -157 odds.

Bryce Miller over 3.5 hits allowed (-149)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 63.8%
• Game: Mariners vs. Astros (8:10PM ET)

The data shows value on Bryce Miller over 3.5 hits allowed, supported by a 63.8% probability at -149 odds and an edge of 3.9%.

Michael Stefanic over 0.5 bases (-152)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 63.6%
• Game: Cardinals vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

A 3.4% edge on the over 3.5 bases line makes Michael Stefanic a value play in Cardinals vs. Athletics, supported by a 63.6% probability at -152 odds.

Shota Imanaga under 5.5 strikeouts (-134)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 63.2%
• Game: Cubs vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Simulations show value on Shota Imanaga under 5.5 strikeouts here, with a 63.2% probability and 6.0% edge at -134 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Wednesday, May 13, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:00AM ET:

Conclusion

For May 13, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Max Fried, Noah Schultz and Dylan Cease. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.