Canadiens vs. Bruins prediction: Boston favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [1/24/2026]

The Boston Bruins will square off with the Montreal Canadiens, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at TD Garden on Saturday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Bruins a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Canadiens.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's Canadiens vs. Bruins matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Habs vs. Bruins prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL game between the Canadiens and Bruins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Bruins a 52% chance of beating the Canadiens.

According to our model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 53% chance of staying under.

Canadiens vs. Bruins odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Canadiens	Bruins
Puck Line	+1.5 (-215)	-1.5 (+200)
Moneyline	-105	-110
Total	o6.5 (-108)	u6.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Canadiens vs. Bruins picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Canadiens +1.5	-215
Moneyline	Bruins	-110
Total	Under 6.5	-110

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Canadiens +1.5 at the spread.

Canadiens vs. Bruins player props

Who will score a goal in Canadiens vs. Bruins?

According to our model, David Pastrnak is most likely to score an anytime goal in Canadiens vs. Bruins.

Our projections give Pastrnak a 40.7% chance of scoring a goal at TD Garden, while the star is an 8.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Montreal Canadiens

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Cole Caufield	32.5%
Nick Suzuki	27.5%
Alexandre Texier	26.3%
Ivan Demidov	26.3%
Oliver Kapanen	24.1%

Boston Bruins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
David Pastrnak	40.7%
Morgan Geekie	28.5%
Alex Steeves	25.2%
Viktor Arvidsson	22.5%
Pavel Zacha	21.9%

First goal scorer predictions

Montreal Canadiens

Player	First Goal Probability
Cole Caufield	6.3%
Ivan Demidov	5.2%
Nick Suzuki	4.9%
Alexandre Texier	4.9%
Oliver Kapanen	4.2%

Boston Bruins

Player	First Goal Probability
David Pastrnak	8.4%
Morgan Geekie	5.2%
Alex Steeves	4.5%
Pavel Zacha	4.3%
Viktor Arvidsson	3.9%

Habs vs. Bruins game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's action between the Bruins and Canadiens at TD Garden is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Montreal Canadiens vs. Boston Bruins
• Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: TD Garden

Conclusion

We predict the Bruins, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Canadiens on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Canadiens vs. Bruins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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