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Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [10/8/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs predictions for NHL Wednesday.
The Toronto Maple Leafs and Montreal Habs are scheduled to meet in the NHL at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday, starting at 7:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Maple Leafs as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Canadiens-Maple Leafs game 10,000 times," said Mac Douglass from Dimers.
"With the latest updates and numerous other variables, we estimate the Maple Leafs' chance of winning at 61%, with the Canadiens at 39%."
For further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs predictions page.
Habs vs. Maple Leafs prediction: Who will win, cover the puck line?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NHL matchup between the Canadiens and Maple Leafs 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Maple Leafs a 61% chance of beating the Canadiens.
According to our model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 62% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6 goals has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Canadiens | Maple Leafs |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-170) | -1.5 (+150) |
| Moneyline | +142 | -166 |
| Total | o6 (-110) | u6 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs picks and best bets
Our model's strongest edge in today's Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs matchup is on the total.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best NHL picks and NHL best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full set of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs player props
Who will score the first goal in Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs?
According to our model, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs.
Our projections give Matthews a 9.8% chance of scoring the first goal at Scotiabank Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 44.8% chance of registering an anytime goal.
First goal scorer predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 7.0% |
| Patrik Laine | 5.0% |
| Nick Suzuki | 5.0% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 9.8% |
| William Nylander | 7.8% |
| John Tavares | 7.1% |
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 33.5% |
| Ivan Demidov | 28.4% |
| Nick Suzuki | 25.9% |
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | 44.8% |
| William Nylander | 38.5% |
| John Tavares | 37.7% |
Habs vs. Maple Leafs game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between the Maple Leafs and Canadiens at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00PM ET.
- Who: Montreal Canadiens vs. Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date: Wednesday, October 8, 2025
- Time: 7:00PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena
Dimers' in-depth preview of Wednesday's Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Habs vs. Maple Leafs picks, be sure to check out the latest NHL predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Maple Leafs, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Canadiens on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on NHL
Keep up with the latest NHL news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Stanley Cup odds provide the most accurate predictions for the Stanley Cup title.
Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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